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[로보틱스-2] 관절에 돈이 고인다

2026년 올해, 중국 저장에 로보틱스를 배우러 탐방을 간 적이 있다. 중국의 로봇굴기를 현지에서 느끼고자 나섰던 기회였다. 미래도시까지는 아니더라도 그들의 로봇에 대한 애정은 곳곳에 느껴졌다. 공산주의 정부의 강력한 로드맵은 어쩌면 시장주의보다 자원의 효율적 배분을 더욱 잘 이끌어 내는지도 모르겠다. 그래서, 중국의 굴기에 감탄과 공포에만 젖어 있어야 하는가? 나는 이 지점이 매우 불편했다. 한국의 AI 정책이 피부로 와닿는 지점은 결국 로봇이 될 텐데 어떻게 대응을 해야 할지 아무도 모르는 것만 같다는 어떠한 감을 느끼게 된다. 우리는 아마 매우 익숙한 경험이 있기 때문에 몸을 사리는지도 모른다. '수소'라는 아젠다가 공론이 되어 왔고 그 과정이 얼마나 무기력했는지도 알고 있다. 아무리 좋아 보여도 혼자 나대면 죽는다는 것을 한국의 직장인들은 너무나 잘 알고 있다. 다시 본론으로 돌아오자. 로봇 팔 하나를 열어 보면, 매끈한 흰색 껍데기 안 관절마다 손바닥만 한 쇳덩이가 박혀 있다. 감속기다. 빠르게 도는 모터의 힘을 느리고 세게 바꿔 주는 부품. 로봇이 무거운 것을 들고도 떨지 않는 건 대개 이 쇳덩이 덕분이다. 그리고 로봇 한 대 값의 절반쯤이 이 관절 언저리에서 갈린다. 사람들은 로봇의 얼굴을 보지만, 실제로 돈은 이 관절 역할을 하는 감속기에 모인다. 1부에서 나는 로봇의 머리 즉 두뇌 이야기를 했다. 지능이 담장 안으로 내려오고, 몸은 중국이 찍어내고, 머리는 미국에서 온다는 이야기. 이번에는 한 층 아래로 내려간다. 손목과 몸통. 실제로 쇠와 톱니로 만들어지고, 실제로 돈이 오가는 자리다. 이건 결국 중국과의 원가 싸움 아닌가 본론으로 내려가기 전에, 정직한 질문 하나를 통과해야 한다. 로봇은 결국 제조업이다. 쇠를 깎고, 감고, 조이고, 상자에 담아 파는 일. 그리고 제조업의 원가 싸움에서 중국을 이겨 본 기억을, 나는 최근 20년 사이에 몇 개 떠올리지 못한다. 태양광과 LCD가 어떻게 끝났는지 우리는 안다. 그렇다면 한국 로보...

[Oligopoly-6] The Collusion We Eat Every Day — Flour & Starch Sugar

A few evenings ago, meaning to fry up some savory pancakes, I took the bag of wheat flour down from the cupboard. Resting on my palm, it was cool and heavy. A brand I had seen all my life was printed large across the bag, and it struck me that apart from the brand I knew nothing at all about the company. Decades of eating this powder, and even so. The cement of the last story was an oligopoly that had the power to name its price and collapsed anyway, for want of buyers. This time it is the exact opposite. A market with the power to name the price — and buyers who will never, ever disappear. Which is why these are the companies for whom collusion worked so long, and so well. The white powders that sat on my palm that evening, laid beneath the very bottom of our table.

The white powders under the table come, broadly, in three kinds. Wheat flour, which becomes bread and noodles and biscuits; starch and starch sugar, which make the sweetness in nearly every processed food; and sugar. Under names like corn syrup and fructose, they sit quietly inside soft drinks and snacks and sauces. We rarely pick these powders up at the market ourselves, but we eat them several times a day without knowing it. And in 2026, the white powders hit the news all at once. Accused of rigging their prices — and breaking the record for the largest fine in history, one after another, as they went.

Three White-Powder Brothers

All three are oligopolies held by a handful of companies. In wheat flour, seven companies hold 88 percent of the business-to-business market; in starch, a mere four companies hold 96 percent (and 86 percent of starch sugar). Consumers do not even know these companies' names, but the bakeries and the biscuit factories and the beverage makers all, in the end, buy their powder from them. An invisible wall, at the very bottom of the table.

What is interesting is that the same faces recur across all three. CJ CheilJedang and Samyang Corporation have their names on sugar, on wheat flour, and on starch sugar alike. The same companies, seated side by side at every white powder. For them to decide to match one another's prices, then, probably did not require any great resolve.

Records Broken, One After Another

In the first half of 2026, the Fair Trade Commission exposed the collusion in each of the three powders in turn. Each time, the words largest fine on record were attached, and the next announcement broke the record again.

ProductFineCollusion
Sugar (3 companies)408.3 billion won (final 395.9 billion)Feb 2026 · 8 rounds · under appeal
Wheat flour (7 companies, 88%)671 billion wonMay 2026 · 24 rounds over 6 years, prices +38–74%
Starch sugar (4 companies, 96% of starch)747.6 billion wonJul 2026 · 13 rounds over 7 years, prices up to +73%

The seven flour companies matched supply prices and volumes twenty-four times over six years, starting in 2019. In those six years the price of flour rose between 38 and 74 percent, depending on the company. The four starch-sugar companies came to terms thirteen times over more than seven years, and pushed prices up by as much as 73 percent. The revenue caught up in the collusion comes to 5.7 trillion won for flour alone. On the numbers, the three white-powder brothers might as well have been running the same script. I think for a moment about the number twenty-four. Twenty-four times in six years is once a quarter. Every time the season changed, somewhere, someone met and matched the price. At that frequency it is less a conspiracy than a standing appointment.

Why This One Worked

Just before this, I looked at cement. An oligopoly that had the power to name its price, proven by collusion, and watched that power turn useless when construction collapsed. Naming a price meant nothing when no one was buying.

The white powders are the exact opposite. We cannot give up bread, and the sweetness in snacks and drinks is hard to avoid. Flour and starch sugar are necessities with no ready substitute. Which is to say: the courtyard inside this wall never dries up. So when a few companies raise the price together, the increase travels intact through the bakery and down into our shopping baskets. The consumer has nowhere to run. This is what makes collusion so frightening in an oligopoly that holds a necessity. Cement's wall lost its strength on its own as its courtyard dried; the white powders' wall kept its courtyard, and the collusion went through undiminished. The same wall defended by many — and what lies inside the courtyard divides the outcomes this far apart.

The People Who Don't Leave

These powder companies are, for the most part, old. Samyang Corporation was founded in 1924, Daehan Flour Mills in 1952. Seventy-odd years of milling flour and little else. The people inside stay correspondingly long. In numbers, it looks like this.

CompanyEmployeesAverage annual payAverage tenureRevenue per employeeOperating profit per employee
CJ CheilJedang8,23284.11 million won9.3 yearsapprox. 890 million wonapprox. 23 million won
Daehan Flour Mills40484.4 million won13.3 yearsapprox. 1.13 billion wonapprox. 92 million won
Samyang Corporation1,25786.2 million won13.3 yearsapprox. 1.51 billion wonapprox. 52 million won
Daesang5,10668.23 million won12.2 yearsapprox. 860 million wonapprox. 33 million won

※ Based on FY2025 DART disclosures. CJ CheilJedang, Daehan Flour Mills, and Samyang Corporation are on separate financial statements (CJ's consolidated figures include CJ Logistics, hence the separate basis); Daesang is consolidated.

The constitution of a necessity oligopoly is laid bare in this table. Revenue per head runs from 900 million to 1.5 billion won — by no means thin. That is how much powder one person turns over in a year. But the profit left per head out of that revenue sits between 23 and 92 million won; at the worst, less than a third of the person's own salary. The money that flows is thick; the money that pools is thin. And perhaps it is that very thinness that explains why they gathered in one room so often. The thinner a trade's remaining share, the more visibly it thickens when prices are raised together, even a little. Though this, of course, is only the conjecture of someone who has stared at the table too long.

Old companies, people who stay long, and collusion that ran long. These three kinds of oldness are probably not unrelated. When people who know one another's faces grow old together for decades in a narrow industry, the words let's match the price pass a little more easily. Collusion often begins not as some grand conspiracy, but as a familiar glance between old neighbors.

The white powders are almost invisible to us. Yet they pass through our bodies every day. In that invisible place, a few companies rigged the price for years on end, and because these were necessities, we paid it without recourse. The three fines of 2026 are the record of an old script found out late. Yesterday, again, I scooped powder from that bag in the cupboard and made a batter. Stirring it, I wondered for a moment: of all the prices I have paid, how much was the share of that familiar glance? The bag, of course, says nothing, and I will go on buying this powder. I suspect they knew that, too.

But there are monopolies of exactly the opposite kind in this world. A company that holds nearly all of its market and cannot name a single won of its price. The next story looks into a strange monopoly whose door stands wide open — a monopoly in appearance only — and faces, head on, a single question. Not market share, but whether a company can name its own price.

This piece is part of the "Korea Value Chain" series and is an original work. It is an analysis based on public data and industry sources; some figures and assessments are estimates. The fines are as determined by the Fair Trade Commission; some companies are contesting them in court, and the amounts may change. It is not intended as a direct basis for investment decisions.

By Alexandro Lee · July 2026

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