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[밸류체인 데일리 브리핑] 2026-08-11 시황

Value-chain Analytics 데일리 브리핑 2026. 08. 11 (화요일) 오늘의 시황 한눈에 에너지·원자재: 국제유가는 호르무즈 협상 교착으로 5% 급등하며 WTI가 80달러대에 재진입했습니다. 정유사의 석유 수출 물량은 정부 통제 상한선에 미치지 못한 가운데, 가스발전 허가와 폭염에 따른 태양광 발전 증가가 전력 공급 안정 및 기후 공약 논란과 함께 부각되고 있습니다. 동시에 인도는 중국 의존도를 낮추기 위해 희토류 자석 자립화를 추진하고 있으며, 한국 배터리 산업은 인도네시아 의존도가 높은 니켈 공급망을 핵심 취약 요인으로 안고 있습니다. 포스코홀딩스의 2.5조원 확보와 리튬, LNG, 희토류 투자 계획, 고려아연의 한미 광물산업 생태계 참여 가능성도 공급망 재편 흐름을 보여줍니다. 기업 재편·자금조달: KDB생명 인수전은 흥국생명, 한화생명, 한국투자금융지주의 3파전으로 전개되고 있으며, 한화그룹은 KAI 지분 15% 이상 확보를 바탕으로 기업결합심사를 신청할 예정입니다. 제약바이오 업계에서도 합병과 분할을 통한 구조 재편이 빨라지는 모습입니다. 오픈AI는 상장 준비와 연계된 70억달러 규모 구주 매각을 완료했고, 엔비디아는 AI 인프라에 대규모 금융자본을 유치하려는 구상을 내놓았습니다. AI 기업의 기업가치와 자금 조달 규모가 커지는 가운데, 앤스로픽이 위험한 AI의 출시를 정부가 막아야 한다고 주장하면서 산업 성장과 규제 사이의 긴장도 커지고 있습니다. 반도체·배터리·디스플레이: 정부는 5조원 규모의 반도체 신규 펀드를 조성해 메가 클러스터 구축을 지원하고, HBM은 12단에서 8단으로의 후퇴 검토가 제기되며 삼성전자와 SK하이닉스의 수율 경쟁이 중요 변수로 떠올랐습니다. TSMC는 차세대 CoPoS 패키징 생산라인을 완공했지만 기술 성숙까지 1년이 필요하다는 평가가 나왔습니다. 배터리 분야에서는 삼성SDI의 미국 LFP 생산 계획과 2028년 공급 부족 전망이 제시됐고, CATL은 항공...

[Invisible Monopoly-1] The Year the Door Opened — Korea Exchange

A few days ago, halfway through lunch, I took out my phone and opened my stock trading app. I had decided it was time to let go of a position I'd held for a long while. I hesitated a moment between the red button and the blue one, pressed the blue, and a moment later a single word appeared on the screen: ‘filled’. I checked it and went back to my noodles. Not the least bit curious about where my order had gone, or whose order it had met. And yet in that brief moment there was, somewhere, a place where my order and someone else's order actually met. And for the past seventy years, one single company has run that place. The Korea Exchange — the place most people just call KRX.

Up to now we have walked past walls you could see. Casinos and cigarettes, electricity and gas, apps and phone plans, the things we eat every day. Now we go down one floor beneath those walls. The plumbing that money flows through. Monopolies that stay entirely out of sight in ordinary times, showing themselves only in the moment something opens, or something collapses. The first of them is this company — the one I passed straight through while eating my noodles.

A Seventy-Year Wall

This wall was unusually complete. The Korea Exchange held, all by itself, the door through which stocks are listed, the courtyard where trades are matched, and even the back-room tidying-up where transactions are finally cleared. Among the walls we've seen so far, some were built by law and some by habit; this one was close to all of the above. The front entrance, the lobby, and the basement plumbing room of the building called the capital market, managed whole by a single company.

The Year the Door Opened

Then, in March 2025, that door opened. An alternative exchange named Nextrade opened for business, and for the first time in seventy years there was one more place where a stock trade could be matched. What was surprising was the speed. Within a little over two months of opening, the new exchange had taken a quarter of total trading value in the stocks it was allowed to trade. Half a year later it was approaching a third. Like Kangwon Land's casino license or SGI Seoul Guarantee's Insurance Business Act, the Korea Exchange's wall had in the end been built by the system — and when the system changed its mind, the wall cracked in an instant.

And Yet, It Earned More Than Ever

Here the paradox of this story begins. In the very year its seventy-year monopoly broke, the Korea Exchange earned more money than at any time since its founding.

Korea Exchange2025
Net profitapprox. 708.9 billion won (+67%)
The eventNextrade launches in March; the monopoly begins to break

The secret lay not in the wall but in the weather. Money poured into the stock market that year and trading exploded, and the more trading there was, the more the fees the exchange takes off the top swelled along with it. The sound of the wall cracking was drowned out by the noise of the festival outside the window. Come to think of it, somewhere in that crowded courtyard there must have been an order about the size of my noodle bill. I have no memory of ever paying a fee, and yet those unremembered sums added up to a number called the biggest in history. It resembles the paradox we saw earlier in semiconductors. Even while your share is shrinking, if the whole market grows, the profit in front of you can actually rise. But that profit comes not from the wall being sturdy; it comes from the courtyard being briefly crowded. Optical illusions are, as a rule, most dangerous when they look their best.

The People Who Don't Leave

CompanyEmployeesAverage annual payAverage tenureNet profit per employee
Korea Exchange1,005131.98 million wonapprox. 13 yearsapprox. 710 million won

※ Based on 2025 disclosures. Net profit per employee is a rough figure: annual net profit of 708.9 billion won divided by headcount.

Life inside this quiet wall is a comfortable one. Average tenure at the Korea Exchange runs to thirteen years, and average pay exceeds 130 million won. As befits a company that keeps the market's infrastructure, people stay a long time. But the number in this table that really deserves a look is on the far right. A little over a thousand people manage every trade in this country, and each of them leaves behind 710 million won a year. That is the density of a seat in the plumbing. Even in the year the wall opened, the timetable inside it barely wavered. The cracking of a wall and the stability of the people inside it often move at different speeds.

The Korea Exchange is the first company in this book to show us, in real time, the moment a wall begins to come down. And the fact that it posted a record profit at that very moment is exactly why, when you look at a monopoly, you must not look only at the top line of the income statement. You have to ask, at the same time, whether the door has opened, and how far. The next time I press the blue button, will the trade still happen in the same courtyard, or will it have crossed, without my noticing, into another one? The word on the screen will tell me nothing. I probably won't check this time either — and on that very indifference, somewhere, a wall is cracking a little more today.

Seen with those eyes, the plumbing of finance is full of doors that have opened in different ways. The Korea Exchange is a place where the door has only just opened. The company in the next story is a place where the door was always open. It's the story of the companies behind the things we call insurance — the ones that insure the insurance itself.

This piece is part of the "Korea Value Chain" series and is an original work. It is an analysis based on public data and industry sources; some figures and assessments are estimates. It is not intended as a direct basis for investment decisions.

By Alexandro Lee · July 2026

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